Chart Size
Year
Squiggle

INFO

What Squiggles areHow to play through a seasonPredictionFAQThe ModelFlagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move up; when they score less, they move move down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

Minor PremierTop 4Top 8Bottom 4Spoon

MODE LADDER

LikelihoodIf not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

In 1993, algorithm SQUIGGLE5 correctly tipped 106 games at an accuracy of 67.52%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 1


Western Bulldogs (95) lost to Collingwood (115) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 20) Western Bulldogs by 6
North Melbourne (166) defeated Brisbane Lions (143) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 23) North Melbourne by 26
Carlton (112) lost to Fitzroy (118) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 6) Carlton by 26
Hawthorn (93) defeated Melbourne (70) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 23) Hawthorn by 26
Geelong (136) defeated St Kilda (112) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 24) Geelong by 17
Richmond (84) lost to Adelaide (178) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 94) Adelaide by 28
West Coast (123) defeated Essendon (110) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 13) West Coast by 38

Round 2


Richmond (126) defeated Brisbane Lions (80) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 46) Richmond by 7
Essendon (132) drew with Carlton (132) at M.C.G. (VIC) [DRAW by 0) Carlton by 5
Melbourne (95) lost to Western Bulldogs (103) at Princes Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 8) Western Bulldogs by 21
St Kilda (132) defeated North Melbourne (125) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 7) St Kilda by 31
Collingwood (113) defeated Geelong (103) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 10) Geelong by 9
Sydney (92) lost to Hawthorn (149) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Hawthorn by 57) Hawthorn by 42
Adelaide (101) defeated West Coast (86) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 15) Adelaide by 6

Round 3


Fitzroy (98) lost to Western Bulldogs (101) at Princes Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 3) Western Bulldogs by 13
St Kilda (132) defeated Sydney (94) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 38) St Kilda by 50
Brisbane Lions (115) defeated Melbourne (113) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 2) Melbourne by 18
West Coast (109) defeated Richmond (65) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 44) West Coast by 60
Carlton (112) defeated Hawthorn (110) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 2) Hawthorn by 18
Geelong (84) lost to North Melbourne (108) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [North Melbourne by 24) Geelong by 50
Essendon (109) lost to Collingwood (139) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 30) Collingwood by 18

Round 4


Adelaide (103) defeated Fitzroy (102) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 1) Adelaide by 30
Hawthorn (79) lost to Geelong (125) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Geelong by 46) Hawthorn by 10
North Melbourne (128) defeated Melbourne (99) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 29) North Melbourne by 17
Collingwood (104) lost to St Kilda (126) at Victoria Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 22) Collingwood by 5
Sydney (95) lost to Essendon (181) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Essendon by 86) Essendon by 10
West Coast (98) defeated Brisbane Lions (46) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 52) West Coast by 63

Round 5


Richmond (122) lost to North Melbourne (159) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 37) North Melbourne by 37
Western Bulldogs (127) defeated Essendon (81) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 46) Western Bulldogs by 7
Fitzroy (167) defeated Sydney (74) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 93) Fitzroy by 37
St Kilda (78) lost to Carlton (123) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Carlton by 45) St Kilda by 8
Melbourne (77) defeated Adelaide (68) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 9) Adelaide by 11
Brisbane Lions (126) lost to Geelong (127) at Gabba (QLD) [Geelong by 1) Geelong by 44

Round 6


Melbourne (153) defeated Richmond (60) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 93) Melbourne by 15
Adelaide (88) lost to Hawthorn (105) at Football Park (SA) [Hawthorn by 17) Adelaide by 8
Essendon (156) defeated Geelong (132) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 24) Geelong by 15
North Melbourne (229) defeated Sydney (105) at Princes Park (VIC) [North Melbourne by 124) North Melbourne by 50
Brisbane Lions (110) defeated Fitzroy (83) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 27) Fitzroy by 23
Carlton (101) lost to Collingwood (137) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 36) Carlton by 2
West Coast (125) defeated Western Bulldogs (84) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 41) West Coast by 20

Round 7


Hawthorn (113) defeated Brisbane Lions (70) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 43) Hawthorn by 44
Fitzroy (79) defeated Melbourne (78) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 1) Fitzroy by 1
Western Bulldogs (110) lost to North Melbourne (141) at Western Oval (VIC) [North Melbourne by 31) Western Bulldogs by 0
Richmond (136) defeated St Kilda (104) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 32) St Kilda by 38
Collingwood (101) defeated Adelaide (76) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 25) Collingwood by 14
Geelong (105) lost to West Coast (113) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [West Coast by 8) Geelong by 5
Sydney (95) lost to Carlton (139) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Carlton by 44) Carlton by 43

Round 8


West Coast (58) lost to Fitzroy (76) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [Fitzroy by 18) West Coast by 31
Carlton (78) lost to Western Bulldogs (106) at Princes Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 28) Carlton by 5
St Kilda (67) lost to Essendon (125) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Essendon by 58) Essendon by 3
Collingwood (94) defeated Hawthorn (76) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 18) Collingwood by 3
Geelong (128) defeated Richmond (78) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 50) Geelong by 48
Brisbane Lions (219) defeated Sydney (57) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 162) Brisbane Lions by 25
Adelaide (123) defeated North Melbourne (121) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 2) Adelaide by 6

Round 9


North Melbourne (134) defeated Carlton (96) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 38) North Melbourne by 8
Fitzroy (92) defeated Collingwood (73) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 19) Collingwood by 9
Western Bulldogs (143) defeated St Kilda (79) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 64) Western Bulldogs by 12
Hawthorn (131) defeated Richmond (121) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 10) Hawthorn by 33
Essendon (111) defeated Adelaide (65) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 46) Essendon by 12
Melbourne (101) defeated West Coast (88) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 13) West Coast by 6
Sydney (104) lost to Geelong (129) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Geelong by 25) Geelong by 52

Round 10


Essendon (129) defeated Fitzroy (125) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 4) Essendon by 9
Carlton (128) defeated Melbourne (74) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 54) Melbourne by 1
Western Bulldogs (62) lost to Hawthorn (132) at Western Oval (VIC) [Hawthorn by 70) Western Bulldogs by 0
Richmond (122) defeated Sydney (93) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 29) Richmond by 38
Collingwood (43) lost to North Melbourne (126) at Victoria Park (VIC) [North Melbourne by 83) Collingwood by 2
St Kilda (64) lost to West Coast (66) at Waverley Park (VIC) [West Coast by 2) West Coast by 13
Brisbane Lions (85) lost to Adelaide (122) at Gabba (QLD) [Adelaide by 37) Brisbane Lions by 1

Round 11


Fitzroy (56) lost to Richmond (82) at Princes Park (VIC) [Richmond by 26) Fitzroy by 22
St Kilda (130) defeated Brisbane Lions (75) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 55) St Kilda by 18
Geelong (89) lost to Carlton (118) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 29) Carlton by 7
Sydney (63) lost to West Coast (120) at S.C.G. (NSW) [West Coast by 57) West Coast by 42
Adelaide (107) defeated Western Bulldogs (62) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 45) Adelaide by 9
Melbourne (160) defeated Collingwood (109) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 51) Collingwood by 7
Hawthorn (86) lost to Essendon (116) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Essendon by 30) Hawthorn by 6

Round 12


West Coast (101) lost to North Melbourne (107) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [North Melbourne by 6) West Coast by 12
Melbourne (105) defeated Essendon (71) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 34) Essendon by 11
Western Bulldogs (94) defeated Sydney (69) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 25) Western Bulldogs by 56
Hawthorn (152) defeated St Kilda (74) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 78) Hawthorn by 18
Carlton (156) defeated Adelaide (77) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 79) Carlton by 16
Geelong (113) defeated Fitzroy (106) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 7) Geelong by 11
Brisbane Lions (97) lost to Collingwood (138) at Gabba (QLD) [Collingwood by 41) Collingwood by 10

Round 13


North Melbourne (80) lost to Hawthorn (83) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 3) North Melbourne by 3
Western Bulldogs (121) defeated Brisbane Lions (93) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 28) Western Bulldogs by 27
Essendon (141) defeated Richmond (63) at Princes Park (VIC) [Essendon by 78) Essendon by 25
Fitzroy (79) lost to St Kilda (112) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 33) Fitzroy by 8
Collingwood (71) lost to West Coast (94) at Victoria Park (VIC) [West Coast by 23) West Coast by 2
Sydney (149) defeated Melbourne (109) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 40) Melbourne by 41
Adelaide (115) defeated Geelong (95) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 20) Adelaide by 10

Round 14


Sydney (82) lost to Adelaide (126) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Adelaide by 44) Adelaide by 27
Essendon (155) defeated Brisbane Lions (39) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 116) Essendon by 45
Fitzroy (119) defeated North Melbourne (118) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 1) North Melbourne by 21
St Kilda (46) lost to Melbourne (92) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Melbourne by 46) Melbourne by 6
Geelong (110) defeated Western Bulldogs (54) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 56) Geelong by 11
Richmond (117) lost to Collingwood (147) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 30) Collingwood by 17
West Coast (91) lost to Carlton (92) at Subiaco (WA) [Carlton by 1) West Coast by 17

Round 15


North Melbourne (129) defeated Essendon (91) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 38) North Melbourne by 3
Carlton (131) defeated Brisbane Lions (97) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 34) Carlton by 50
Collingwood (169) defeated Sydney (77) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 92) Collingwood by 54
Hawthorn (110) defeated Fitzroy (64) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 46) Hawthorn by 19
Melbourne (141) defeated Geelong (127) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 14) Melbourne by 3
Richmond (62) lost to Western Bulldogs (78) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 16) Western Bulldogs by 8
Adelaide (156) defeated St Kilda (63) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 93) Adelaide by 21

Round 16


Adelaide (171) defeated Richmond (32) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 139) Adelaide by 35
Fitzroy (95) lost to Carlton (181) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 86) Carlton by 17
Collingwood (145) defeated Western Bulldogs (81) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 64) Collingwood by 9
St Kilda (177) defeated Geelong (106) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 71) Geelong by 14
Melbourne (90) lost to Hawthorn (106) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 16) Hawthorn by 11
Brisbane Lions (104) lost to North Melbourne (146) at Gabba (QLD) [North Melbourne by 42) North Melbourne by 37
Essendon (89) defeated West Coast (87) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 2) Essendon by 3

Round 17


North Melbourne (97) lost to St Kilda (112) at M.C.G. (VIC) [St Kilda by 15) North Melbourne by 28
Geelong (87) defeated Collingwood (79) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Geelong by 8) Collingwood by 8
Western Bulldogs (97) lost to Melbourne (110) at Western Oval (VIC) [Melbourne by 13) Melbourne by 12
Carlton (83) lost to Essendon (104) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 21) Carlton by 0
Brisbane Lions (118) defeated Richmond (99) at Gabba (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 19) Brisbane Lions by 11
Hawthorn (159) defeated Sydney (67) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 92) Hawthorn by 72
West Coast (107) defeated Adelaide (70) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 37) West Coast by 14

Round 18


Collingwood (55) lost to Essendon (123) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 68) Essendon by 11
Western Bulldogs (146) defeated Fitzroy (84) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 62) Western Bulldogs by 2
North Melbourne (72) lost to Geelong (166) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 94) North Melbourne by 18
Hawthorn (91) lost to Carlton (122) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Carlton by 31) Hawthorn by 5
Richmond (81) lost to West Coast (100) at Princes Park (VIC) [West Coast by 19) West Coast by 31
Melbourne (138) defeated Brisbane Lions (49) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 89) Melbourne by 40
Sydney (118) lost to St Kilda (155) at S.C.G. (NSW) [St Kilda by 37) St Kilda by 30

Round 19


Essendon (117) defeated Sydney (96) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 21) Essendon by 76
St Kilda (68) lost to Collingwood (80) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 12) Collingwood by 7
Fitzroy (99) defeated Adelaide (94) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 5) Adelaide by 14
Richmond (83) lost to Carlton (106) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 23) Carlton by 40
Geelong (150) defeated Hawthorn (68) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 82) Geelong by 6
Brisbane Lions (71) lost to West Coast (131) at Gabba (QLD) [West Coast by 60) West Coast by 27

Round 20


Sydney (99) lost to Fitzroy (114) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Fitzroy by 15) Fitzroy by 14
Carlton (77) lost to St Kilda (84) at Princes Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 7) Carlton by 24
Essendon (98) defeated Western Bulldogs (85) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 13) Essendon by 19
North Melbourne (128) defeated Richmond (84) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 44) North Melbourne by 31
West Coast (67) defeated Hawthorn (45) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 22) West Coast by 18
Adelaide (105) defeated Melbourne (46) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 59) Adelaide by 14

Round 21


Fitzroy (147) defeated Brisbane Lions (43) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 104) Fitzroy by 26
Geelong (126) defeated Essendon (94) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 32) Geelong by 12
Hawthorn (115) defeated Adelaide (88) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 27) Hawthorn by 4
Collingwood (63) lost to Carlton (117) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 54) Carlton by 9
Western Bulldogs (94) defeated West Coast (52) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 42) West Coast by 9
Richmond (54) lost to Melbourne (175) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 121) Melbourne by 23
Sydney (98) lost to North Melbourne (160) at S.C.G. (NSW) [North Melbourne by 62) North Melbourne by 41

Round 22


West Coast (96) lost to Geelong (116) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [Geelong by 20) West Coast by 10
Carlton (111) defeated Sydney (110) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 1) Carlton by 66
St Kilda (125) defeated Richmond (82) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 43) St Kilda by 21
North Melbourne (123) lost to Western Bulldogs (135) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 12) North Melbourne by 9
Brisbane Lions (106) lost to Hawthorn (163) at Gabba (QLD) [Hawthorn by 57) Hawthorn by 34
Melbourne (75) lost to Fitzroy (98) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Fitzroy by 23) Melbourne by 20
Adelaide (135) defeated Collingwood (111) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 24) Adelaide by 26

Elimination Final


North Melbourne (69) lost to West Coast (120) at Waverley Park (VIC) [West Coast by 51) North Melbourne by 1
Essendon (98) lost to Carlton (100) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 2) Essendon by 2
Hawthorn (95) lost to Adelaide (110) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 15) Hawthorn by 4

Semi Final


Carlton (86) defeated Adelaide (68) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Carlton by 18) Carlton by 2
Essendon (108) defeated West Coast (76) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 32) West Coast by 0

Preliminary Final


Essendon (111) defeated Adelaide (100) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 11) Essendon by 6

Grand Final


Essendon (133) defeated Carlton (89) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 44) Essendon by 7

/* heavier border */ /* lighter border */ /* much lighter border */ /* Tower of Power fills */