INFO

What Squiggles are • How to play through a season • Prediction • FAQ • The Model • Flagpole

What Squiggles are

Squiggles are visualizations of AFL team performances, charting attack and defence over the course of a season.

Teams ⇡ high on the chart kick big scores. Teams on the ⇢ right keep their opposition to low scores. Teams in the ↗ upper-right do both. Teams in the ↙ lower-left do neither.

Squiggles are handy because:

• They visualize different game styles. For example, Ross Lyon teams at their peak lurk on the right side of the chart about halfway up, since they keep their opposition to low scores without scoring highly themselves.

• They provide interesting season replays, showing how teams rose or fell at different times of the year.

• They minimize fixture bias by accounting for the difficulty of opponents (and venue).

• They predict how the season will play out based on current likelihoods.

Squiggle is roughly as accurate as tipping the favourite every game. (Which is hard to beat!) Over a season, an informed, observant human should be able to beat it, but not by much. It will beat an average human tipper. You can review its accuracy by visiting the TIPS section of any year.

How to play through a season

To watch the evolution of a past season, use the top controls:

Rewind to the start of the season

Previous Round

Next Round

Reload

You can also:

• Click a team name in the legend at the top to hide/show it.

• Click a team flag to remove every other team.

For example, you might like to rewind, click Hawthorn's flag to remove all other teams, click Geelong's name in the legend to add it back in, then repeatedly step through the season to watch their dance of death.

To zoom in on an area, drag a box around it.

Prediction

Weekly Tips

Click TIPS at the top of the page. If a team beats the tipped scoreline—i.e. wins by more than predicted, loses by less than predicted, or records an upset win—it will generally move in a positive direction on the chart (i.e. more up-and-right than down-and-left), while if its result is worse, it will generally move in a negative direction.

You can view tips for previous rounds via the "History" link on the Tips page.

Season Predictor

This is how the ladder will look if Squiggle has correctly rated every team and nobody gets better or worse.

For the home & away season, it uses a probabilistic ladder, not a simple tally of tips. Both teams are awarded a win probability from each game, so that if Squiggle thinks Hawthorn is 68% likely to beat Collingwood, it will award the Hawks 0.68 wins and the Pies 0.32 wins, increasing both team's tally of "probable wins" by less than 1.

This is because if a team plays 10 games with 60% likelihood of winning each game, we should expect them to win about 6/10—not, as we would get if we tipped each game and tallied up the tips, 10/10. We know that upsets will happen; we just don't know when. A probabilitistic ladder accounts for the likelihood that teams will sometimes unexpectedly win or lose, even though we doesn't know when.

This can look like a bug in the predictor, if you see a team tipped to win a match that doesn't seem to be credited. For example, a team might be on "15 (14.7)" wins, which means 14.7 "probable wins" rounded off to 15. (Rounding occurs so that teams can be secondarily ranked by their percentage.) And then that team is tipped to win the following week, but it remains on 15 wins, now "15 (15.3)". What has happened is the number of probable wins hasn't risen by enough to be rounded to a higher number. It has earned 0.6 more probable wins, but this still rounds off to 15. The predictor is saying it's still most likely this team will be on 15 wins, after accounting for the likelihood that some of its tips will be wrong.

Finals matches are predicted using simple tips. However, this isn't a very reliable way of doing it, and not Squiggle's official Premier tip. For this, please see Flagpole.

Starting the season: Team starting positions are heavily influenced by their late-season performances the previous year, and the off-season is completely ignored. There is no adjustment made for recovery from injuries, or players gained or lost via the draft or trade table, or anything else. For example, Collingwood started 2015 rated very low due to their injury-plagued end to 2014, while Adelaide and West Coast started in good positions after solid late-2014 performances.

Interactive Season Predictor

Drag teams around the chart and make Squiggle predict the rest of the season based on the new positions! It's the best of both worlds: your footy insight plus Squiggle's ability to sensibly model a season.

Reposition teams to your heart's content, open up the Predictor and click RECALCULATE.

This also provides a shareable link to the generated squiggle, so you can show off your work to other people.

FAQ

What causes a team to move?

Teams move when they do better or worse than Squiggle expected.

The most important factor is the final scoreline. When a team scores more than Squiggle expected, they move ⇡ up; when they score less, they move move ⇣ down; when they hold their opposition to a lower score, they move ⇢; right; and when they allow their opposition to score more, they move ⇠ left.

Of course, usually two of these things happen at once, so they move on a diagonal:

↗ Scored more than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↘ Scored less than predicted, held opponent to less than predicted

↙ Scored less than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

↖ Scored more than predicted, opponent scored more than predicted

How far a team moves depends on how different the result was from Squiggle's prediction. If the result was close to expectation, a team may barely budge. But an unexpected thrashing will cause a lot of movement.

Do teams get more movement against easy opposition?

No, because Squiggle expects better performances against weaker opponents, and to move to a better position, the team has to beat this expectation.

For the same reason, Squiggle isn't affected by fixture bias.

Can a team lose and still move into a better squiggle position?

Yes! Squiggle believes in honourable losses and shameful victories. If a team is expected to win by 10 goals but only prevails by 5, it will slide.

What factors are considered?

A team's rating is modified after each game by looking at:

• Scores, obviously.

• Scoring Shots: a team is rated more highly if they record more scoring shots.

• Venue: teams are expected to perform better at venues with which they are more familiar.

• Team Selections: teams are expected to perform better when they select more highly-rated players.

• Stage of Season: team ratings are more fluid in the early part of each season.

• Past Games: each new game is combined with past results.

Can a team beat the tipped result and still fall back on the chart?

Yes! Two factors can cause unusual chart movement:

• Scoring Shots: where one team is much more accurate than the other. For example, in the opening match of 2018, Richmond won 17.19 (121) to Carlton 15.5 (95). Squiggle tipped a 29-point win, so normally the Tigers would slightly regress after winning by only 26 points. However, after factoring in the scoring shot disparity, Richmond's performance was rated more highly, and the Tigers moved positively on the chart.

• Team Selections: where a team has significant ins/outs. For example, in the second match of 2018, Essendon defeated Adelaide by 12 points. This was very similar to Squiggle's expectation of a 7-point Essendon win, so normally neither team would move much. However, Adelaide selected a much weaker team than their previous game (the 2017 Grand Final); without this, Squiggle would have tipped Adelaide by 9 points. As a result, Essendon received less positive movement than they would have for the same scoreline against a normal-strength Adelaide. The Crows also saw negative movement, since the result was worse than what would have been expected from them given their previous rating.

How is home ground advantage determined?

As described in the Model section, home ground advantage in Squiggle 2.0 is generated from ground familiarity: How often the teams have played at the same ground and in the same state over the preceding 4 years (including the current season).

What are Squiggle's weaknesses?

Some quirks of Squiggle, which you may decide to compensate for as an intelligent human, include:

• Squiggle doesn't consider a team's level of motivation, which seems to be fairly significant. Squiggle assumes all teams are trying equally hard at all times.

• Squiggle doesn't consider the impact of weather. It may reward a team for having a good defence when in reality what was making it hard to score was torrential rain. This doesn't seem to happen often enough to throw anything too far out, but does occur from time to time.

• Squiggle doesn't place any special value on wins. That is, it doesn't see much difference between a 1-point victory and a 1-point loss. It may thus underestimate a team that does "just enough," or is especially good at holding on in tight contests. Likewise, it may overestimate a team that regularly gets itself into winning positions against good teams but lacks the ability to close the games out.

• Squiggle gets excited about very low-scoring games. The maths mean that if a team is expected to keep its opposition to 80 points, and it actually keeps them to 40, this is considered twice as good, while keeping them to 20 points is considered four times as good, and keeping them to 10 points is eight times as good. Those are some big multipliers: to be 8 times better than a predicted 80 points in terms of Attack, a team would need to score 640 points (80 x 8), which is a lot more than the all-time AFL record. This means it's significantly easier for a team to move rapidly rightwards on a squiggle than upwards.

• The underlying model generates some inflation over the course of a season, which causes Squiggle to rate teams about 5-10% higher by the end of the year compared to the start. This seems useful for predictive purposes, as it allows for more movement leading into finals. However, it means that a team that doesn't actually change strength at all will be shown to slightly improve its chart position over the course of the season.

Why does the model use those values?

All the numbers used by Squiggle are that way because they worked best (i.e. made the most accurate predictions) when every possible combination was tested with a simulator replaying the last few decades.

How are the year's starting values calculated?

2015 starting positions are very similar to their end 2014 positions—the only difference is that 2013 data is no longer considered, so teams are modeled from the start of 2014 with each beginning on 50 ATTACK and 50 DEFENCE.

This means late-season 2014 results weigh quite heavily. For example, Collingwood had an injury-plagued end to 2014, and so is rated very low. Adelaide and West Coast, by contrast, finished the year with several solid performances, and so begin the year higher than you might expect.

What's with those crazy charts for the 1900s!?

Football scores were a lot lower a century ago, especially in the very early years, when single-digit scorelines abounded. Squiggle is calibrated for modern football, and thinks a game in which one team is held to a single goal (or no goals!) signifies an unbelievably good defensive effort. This causes teams to go shooting off to the right quite often in charts from the 1890s, 1900s and 1910s. So it's not a particularly good visualization of the strength of any particular team in that era. But it is interesting in terms of how different the whole league looks: how low and flat it is compared to today.

Similary, it can be interesting to look at where the mass of teams tends to sit in different decades; for example, how attacking the late 1980s was, with plenty of teams sitting high & centre/left compared to today.

The Model

The foundation of the Squiggle model is the OFFDEF engine, which rates teams separately in terms of attack and defense. Each team is initially assigned a starting value of 50 for each.

Scores are predicted for each match using the formula:

PREDICTED SCORE = 85 * TEAM ATTACK ÷ OPPOSITION DEFENCE

For example, in a match between a team with ATTACK 56 and an opposition with DEFENCE 50, the team is predicted to score: 85 * 56 ÷ 50 = 95 points.

Predicted scores are compared to the actual scores, and ATTACK and DEFENCE adjusted accordingly. For example, if a team scored more highly than predicted, its ATTACK score needs to be increased, since Squiggle underrated it. Likewise, the opposition's DEFENCE score should decrease, since they failed to restrict the team as well as predicted. This is done by calculating what these scores would have to have been to predict the result perfectly, then constructing a weighted average of this along with all other results.

At the start of a season, team starting points are calculated by doing the above for the previous season. For example, to calculate starting points for 2014, each team is assigned 50 to ATTACK and DEFENCE, then the 2013 season is played through.

The units are completely arbitrary, and entirely due to the choice of 50 as a starting value for each team's ATTACK and DEFENCE. They have no meaning except when comparing teams to each other.

Several other filters and algorithms are used to manipulate scores produced by the OFFDEF engine, including venue (for home ground advantage), round number, team selections, and scoring shots.

Home Ground Advantage

Teams are compared based on the number of times they've played at the venue and in the same state.

Tip Probability

When determining "probable wins" in the Season Predictor, an algorithm is used that reflects the actual accuracy of Squiggle tips vs real-life results. Three factors affect the likelihood of a tip being correct:

• Margin: The greater the predicted margin, the more likely the tip is to be correct.

• Round Number: Games that occur later in the season are a little more likely to be tipped correctly.

• Weeks Until Game: Games that are weeks or months in the future are a little less likely to be tipped correctly.

Model Versions

Squiggle v1 used the algorithm ISTATE-91:12, in which 12 points of Home Ground Advantage is awarded to the home team in interstate games only, and each new game forms 9% of the team's new rating (with previous games forming 91%). Follow this link for Squiggles generated under the v1 algorithm.

Squiggle 2.0 made several changes in 2018:

• Greater sensitivity in early rounds to better captures the sometimes substantial form changes that occur over an off-season.

• Factor in goalkicking accuracy, by discounting scores that resulted from unusually high accuracy (i.e. kicking many more goals than behinds), and padding scores that resulted from unusually low accuracy, since these tend to be non-reproducible.

• Generate home ground advantage from a ground familiarity algorithm.

Squiggle4 added Ins/Out awareness in mid-2018, so it can adjust predictions based on team selection.

Squiggle5 moved to a more crowd-based model of home ground advantage in 2020.

To compare Squiggle's performance to other computer models, see the Squiggle Models Leaderboard.

Flagpole

Flagpole is currently a combined strength rating of each team, downgraded by its likelihood of missing finals.

For example, if two teams are currently have the same combined OFFENCE and DEFENCE, but one is certain of making finals while the other has a 25% chance of missing, the latter's will Flagpole will be 75% of the height of the former.

Tower of Power shows how likely teams are (or were) to finish the Home & Away season in various ladder positions, according to squiggle simulations.

At the start of a season, with many games remaining and uncertainty about the strength of each team, there are long strips, as teams could plausibly finish in many different places. Later, they flatten out, as the range of likely finishes shrinks.

Use the top player controls to watch changes throughout a season:

Some creative license is taken for the purposes of visual appeal, which is why final ladder positions appear somewhat diagonal.

* If the round number is marked with an asterisk, the Tower is generated from fewer simulations in order to provide a faster result.

FINALS CHANCES

		Minor Premier	Top 4	Top 8	Bottom 4	Spoon

MODE LADDER

			Likelihood	If not, then...

A Mode Ladder may be useful in the last round or two of a season, since it focuses on the most likely exact finishing position for teams, rather than averaging a range of possibilities. For example, after Round 22, 2017 with one round to go, Richmond were highly likely to finish either 3rd or 6th. Normally this would be averaged out to a prediction of about 4th -- even though the Tigers couldn't possibly finish there. The Mode Ladder avoids this problem.

A Mode Ladder is less useful than other forecasting methods until very late in the season, since until then there are too many possible final ladder combinations.

In 1992, algorithm SQUIGGLE5 correctly tipped 114 games at an accuracy of 66.28%.

Draws are counted as correct tips. Historically, Squiggle employed the ISTATE-91:12 algorithm from 2013-2017, the SQUIGGLE2 algorithm for the first 12 rounds of 2018, and SQUIGGLE4 thereafter. To view historical tips from Squiggle (and other models) irrespective of the algorithm, see the Squiggle API or the models leaderboard.

Round 1

Hawthorn (141) defeated Geelong (121) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 20) Hawthorn by 18
Brisbane Lions (68) lost to Carlton (92) at Carrara (QLD) [Carlton by 24) Carlton by 8
St Kilda (128) defeated Essendon (111) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 17) St Kilda by 15
Adelaide (87) lost to Western Bulldogs (114) at Football Park (SA) [Western Bulldogs by 27) Adelaide by 3

Round 2

Collingwood (154) defeated Brisbane Lions (88) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 66) Collingwood by 61
Carlton (115) defeated Hawthorn (89) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 26) Hawthorn by 35
Melbourne (113) defeated Geelong (105) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 8) Geelong by 14
Richmond (65) lost to North Melbourne (131) at Waverley Park (VIC) [North Melbourne by 66) North Melbourne by 0
Essendon (98) lost to Fitzroy (150) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Fitzroy by 52) Essendon by 16
Western Bulldogs (108) defeated St Kilda (76) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 32) St Kilda by 4
Sydney (98) defeated West Coast (95) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 3) West Coast by 29

Round 3

Melbourne (95) lost to Adelaide (104) at Princes Park (VIC) [Adelaide by 9) Melbourne by 23
Collingwood (116) defeated Sydney (97) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 19) Collingwood by 34
North Melbourne (75) lost to Hawthorn (101) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 26) Hawthorn by 28
Brisbane Lions (82) defeated Fitzroy (58) at Carrara (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 24) Fitzroy by 14
Western Bulldogs (69) lost to Essendon (91) at Western Oval (VIC) [Essendon by 22) Western Bulldogs by 24
Geelong (198) defeated Richmond (72) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 126) Geelong by 48
West Coast (113) defeated St Kilda (80) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 33) West Coast by 20

Round 4

North Melbourne (110) lost to Carlton (125) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 15) Carlton by 0
Fitzroy (130) defeated Adelaide (97) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 33) Adelaide by 2
Essendon (115) lost to Collingwood (124) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 9) Collingwood by 25
St Kilda (108) defeated Hawthorn (98) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [St Kilda by 10) Hawthorn by 20
Richmond (119) defeated Melbourne (69) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 50) Melbourne by 27
Sydney (119) lost to Western Bulldogs (165) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Western Bulldogs by 46) Sydney by 6
West Coast (107) lost to Geelong (131) at Subiaco (WA) [Geelong by 24) West Coast by 7

Round 5

Carlton (73) lost to Sydney (94) at Princes Park (VIC) [Sydney by 21) Carlton by 20
Hawthorn (114) lost to Essendon (141) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Essendon by 27) Hawthorn by 38
North Melbourne (101) lost to Western Bulldogs (140) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 39) Western Bulldogs by 2
Brisbane Lions (92) drew with West Coast (92) at Carrara (QLD) [DRAW by 0) West Coast by 33
Adelaide (151) defeated Richmond (117) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 34) Adelaide by 18
Melbourne (98) lost to Collingwood (131) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 33) Collingwood by 14
Fitzroy (108) lost to St Kilda (128) at Princes Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 20) St Kilda by 25

Round 6

Sydney (76) lost to North Melbourne (125) at S.C.G. (NSW) [North Melbourne by 49) Sydney by 9
Carlton (121) defeated St Kilda (113) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 8) St Kilda by 8
Collingwood (111) lost to Hawthorn (135) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 24) Hawthorn by 11
Essendon (124) defeated Melbourne (123) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 1) Essendon by 1
Geelong (175) defeated Fitzroy (77) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 98) Geelong by 59
Richmond (96) lost to West Coast (97) at M.C.G. (VIC) [West Coast by 1) West Coast by 27
Adelaide (134) defeated Brisbane Lions (74) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 60) Adelaide by 27

Round 7

St Kilda (139) defeated Adelaide (65) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [St Kilda by 74) St Kilda by 27
Collingwood (116) defeated North Melbourne (66) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 50) Collingwood by 3
Hawthorn (172) defeated Richmond (93) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 79) Hawthorn by 41
Melbourne (96) drew with Sydney (96) at M.C.G. (VIC) [DRAW by 0) Melbourne by 6
Brisbane Lions (75) lost to Geelong (239) at Carrara (QLD) [Geelong by 164) Geelong by 54
Western Bulldogs (128) defeated Carlton (72) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 56) Western Bulldogs by 4
Fitzroy (102) defeated West Coast (82) at North Hobart (TAS) [Fitzroy by 20) West Coast by 30

Round 8

Collingwood (72) lost to Carlton (105) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Carlton by 33) Collingwood by 15
Sydney (135) defeated Brisbane Lions (61) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Sydney by 74) Sydney by 40
Geelong (210) defeated Adelaide (87) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 123) Geelong by 65
North Melbourne (132) defeated Essendon (80) at Princes Park (VIC) [North Melbourne by 52) North Melbourne by 8
Richmond (102) lost to Fitzroy (161) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Fitzroy by 59) Fitzroy by 2
St Kilda (125) defeated Melbourne (65) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 60) St Kilda by 25
West Coast (133) defeated Western Bulldogs (74) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 59) West Coast by 8

Round 9

North Melbourne (66) lost to Fitzroy (105) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Fitzroy by 39) North Melbourne by 19
Carlton (82) lost to West Coast (106) at Princes Park (VIC) [West Coast by 24) West Coast by 8
Essendon (124) lost to Geelong (181) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 57) Geelong by 52
Hawthorn (120) defeated Melbourne (48) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 72) Hawthorn by 43
Brisbane Lions (42) lost to Western Bulldogs (84) at Carrara (QLD) [Western Bulldogs by 42) Western Bulldogs by 35
Richmond (134) defeated Sydney (102) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 32) Sydney by 10
Adelaide (64) lost to Collingwood (69) at Football Park (SA) [Collingwood by 5) Collingwood by 9

Round 10

West Coast (118) defeated Adelaide (78) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [West Coast by 40) West Coast by 40
St Kilda (168) defeated Brisbane Lions (60) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [St Kilda by 108) St Kilda by 67
Carlton (116) defeated Essendon (64) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 52) Carlton by 6
Geelong (66) lost to Collingwood (81) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 15) Geelong by 21
Western Bulldogs (107) defeated Richmond (90) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 17) Western Bulldogs by 37
Melbourne (140) defeated North Melbourne (104) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 36) North Melbourne by 18
Sydney (85) lost to Hawthorn (146) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Hawthorn by 61) Hawthorn by 31

Round 11

Richmond (142) defeated Brisbane Lions (83) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Richmond by 59) Richmond by 36
Melbourne (65) lost to Carlton (99) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Carlton by 34) Carlton by 10
Fitzroy (92) defeated Collingwood (89) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 3) Collingwood by 20
Geelong (129) defeated St Kilda (126) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 3) Geelong by 24
Essendon (116) defeated Sydney (73) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 43) Essendon by 12
Western Bulldogs (109) defeated Hawthorn (75) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 34) Hawthorn by 14
Adelaide (142) defeated North Melbourne (107) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 35) Adelaide by 5

Round 12

North Melbourne (66) lost to West Coast (110) at M.C.G. (VIC) [West Coast by 44) West Coast by 16
Essendon (130) defeated Richmond (79) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 51) Essendon by 15
Fitzroy (84) lost to Western Bulldogs (146) at Princes Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 62) Western Bulldogs by 19
Brisbane Lions (103) defeated Melbourne (77) at Carrara (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 26) Melbourne by 13
Carlton (90) lost to Geelong (118) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 28) Geelong by 26
Hawthorn (102) lost to Adelaide (103) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Adelaide by 1) Hawthorn by 48
Collingwood (76) lost to St Kilda (77) at M.C.G. (VIC) [St Kilda by 1) St Kilda by 8

Round 13

Carlton (115) defeated Adelaide (92) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 23) Carlton by 15
Hawthorn (145) defeated Fitzroy (89) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 56) Hawthorn by 30
North Melbourne (115) lost to Geelong (192) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 77) Geelong by 47
St Kilda (157) defeated Sydney (104) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [St Kilda by 53) St Kilda by 50
Brisbane Lions (85) lost to Essendon (119) at Carrara (QLD) [Essendon by 34) Essendon by 28
Western Bulldogs (161) defeated Melbourne (54) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 107) Western Bulldogs by 37
West Coast (62) lost to Collingwood (63) at Subiaco (WA) [Collingwood by 1) West Coast by 20

Round 14

North Melbourne (137) defeated Brisbane Lions (102) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 35) North Melbourne by 37
Fitzroy (133) defeated Carlton (114) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 19) Carlton by 6
Hawthorn (60) lost to West Coast (74) at Waverley Park (VIC) [West Coast by 14) Hawthorn by 10
Richmond (108) lost to St Kilda (157) at M.C.G. (VIC) [St Kilda by 49) St Kilda by 46
Collingwood (82) defeated Western Bulldogs (76) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 6) Western Bulldogs by 8
Sydney (83) lost to Geelong (158) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Geelong by 75) Geelong by 46
Adelaide (92) lost to Essendon (136) at Football Park (SA) [Essendon by 44) Adelaide by 10

Round 15

Adelaide (149) defeated Sydney (82) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 67) Adelaide by 19
Richmond (123) defeated Carlton (120) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Richmond by 3) Carlton by 19
Essendon (62) lost to West Coast (137) at M.C.G. (VIC) [West Coast by 75) West Coast by 13
St Kilda (117) defeated North Melbourne (109) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [St Kilda by 8) St Kilda by 37
Brisbane Lions (104) lost to Hawthorn (108) at Carrara (QLD) [Hawthorn by 4) Hawthorn by 51
Melbourne (109) defeated Fitzroy (87) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 22) Fitzroy by 20
Geelong (102) defeated Western Bulldogs (93) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 9) Geelong by 19

Round 16

West Coast (109) defeated Melbourne (87) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [West Coast by 22) West Coast by 53
Western Bulldogs (143) defeated Adelaide (56) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 87) Western Bulldogs by 33
Carlton (179) defeated Brisbane Lions (80) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 99) Carlton by 41
Collingwood (161) defeated Richmond (98) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 63) Collingwood by 36
Essendon (111) defeated St Kilda (83) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 28) St Kilda by 21
Geelong (95) lost to Hawthorn (114) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Hawthorn by 19) Geelong by 28
Sydney (83) lost to Fitzroy (136) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Fitzroy by 53) Fitzroy by 2

Round 17

Hawthorn (54) lost to Carlton (66) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Carlton by 12) Hawthorn by 21
St Kilda (84) lost to Western Bulldogs (97) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 13) Western Bulldogs by 9
Geelong (136) defeated Melbourne (63) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 73) Geelong by 63
North Melbourne (119) defeated Richmond (118) at Princes Park (VIC) [North Melbourne by 1) North Melbourne by 11
Brisbane Lions (64) lost to Collingwood (103) at Carrara (QLD) [Collingwood by 39) Collingwood by 40
Fitzroy (77) lost to Essendon (80) at North Hobart (TAS) [Essendon by 3) Essendon by 2
West Coast (107) defeated Sydney (54) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 53) West Coast by 57

Round 18

Sydney (96) lost to Collingwood (114) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Collingwood by 18) Collingwood by 24
Fitzroy (73) lost to Brisbane Lions (114) at Princes Park (VIC) [Brisbane Lions by 41) Fitzroy by 44
Essendon (93) defeated Western Bulldogs (77) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 16) Western Bulldogs by 22
Hawthorn (133) defeated North Melbourne (96) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 37) Hawthorn by 34
Richmond (83) lost to Geelong (165) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 82) Geelong by 53
St Kilda (95) defeated West Coast (29) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 66) West Coast by 4
Adelaide (67) lost to Melbourne (116) at Football Park (SA) [Melbourne by 49) Adelaide by 22

Round 19

Collingwood (83) defeated Essendon (61) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 22) Collingwood by 14
Carlton (108) defeated North Melbourne (101) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 7) Carlton by 17
Western Bulldogs (103) defeated Sydney (57) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 46) Western Bulldogs by 47
Geelong (77) lost to West Coast (96) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [West Coast by 19) Geelong by 19
Hawthorn (55) lost to St Kilda (130) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 75) St Kilda by 1
Melbourne (150) defeated Richmond (75) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Melbourne by 75) Melbourne by 7
Adelaide (132) defeated Fitzroy (47) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 85) Adelaide by 11

Round 20

West Coast (186) defeated Brisbane Lions (55) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [West Coast by 131) West Coast by 64
Collingwood (100) lost to Melbourne (109) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Melbourne by 9) Collingwood by 26
Essendon (56) lost to Hawthorn (216) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 160) Hawthorn by 15
St Kilda (102) defeated Fitzroy (84) at Moorabbin Oval (VIC) [St Kilda by 18) St Kilda by 44
Western Bulldogs (152) defeated North Melbourne (105) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 47) Western Bulldogs by 30
Richmond (53) lost to Adelaide (163) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Adelaide by 110) Adelaide by 10
Sydney (130) lost to Carlton (139) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Carlton by 9) Carlton by 12

Round 21

North Melbourne (111) defeated Sydney (80) at M.C.G. (VIC) [North Melbourne by 31) North Melbourne by 17
Hawthorn (82) defeated Collingwood (63) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Hawthorn by 19) Hawthorn by 9
Melbourne (94) lost to Essendon (126) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 32) Melbourne by 0
Fitzroy (68) lost to Geelong (120) at Princes Park (VIC) [Geelong by 52) Geelong by 37
Brisbane Lions (77) lost to Adelaide (110) at Carrara (QLD) [Adelaide by 33) Adelaide by 24
St Kilda (87) lost to Carlton (122) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Carlton by 35) St Kilda by 19
West Coast (104) defeated Richmond (84) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 20) West Coast by 67

Round 22

West Coast (106) defeated Fitzroy (76) at W.A.C.A. (WA) [West Coast by 30) West Coast by 45
Geelong (151) defeated Brisbane Lions (58) at Kardinia Park (Gee) [Geelong by 93) Geelong by 79
Carlton (136) defeated Western Bulldogs (54) at Princes Park (VIC) [Carlton by 82) Western Bulldogs by 9
Richmond (86) lost to Hawthorn (170) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 84) Hawthorn by 54
North Melbourne (92) lost to Collingwood (98) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Collingwood by 6) Collingwood by 24
Sydney (88) lost to Melbourne (139) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Melbourne by 51) Sydney by 0
Adelaide (93) defeated St Kilda (77) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 16) St Kilda by 5

Round 23

Carlton (86) lost to Collingwood (102) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 16) Carlton by 0
Essendon (139) defeated North Melbourne (71) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Essendon by 68) Essendon by 2
Fitzroy (133) defeated Richmond (98) at Princes Park (VIC) [Fitzroy by 35) Fitzroy by 17
Brisbane Lions (129) defeated Sydney (70) at Carrara (QLD) [Brisbane Lions by 59) Sydney by 1
Western Bulldogs (53) defeated West Coast (23) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 30) Western Bulldogs by 0
Melbourne (43) lost to St Kilda (58) at M.C.G. (VIC) [St Kilda by 15) St Kilda by 24
Adelaide (169) defeated Geelong (78) at Football Park (SA) [Adelaide by 91) Geelong by 12

Round 24

Sydney (95) lost to Richmond (125) at S.C.G. (NSW) [Richmond by 30) Sydney by 12
Collingwood (87) defeated Adelaide (82) at Victoria Park (VIC) [Collingwood by 5) Collingwood by 13
Western Bulldogs (131) defeated Brisbane Lions (74) at Western Oval (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 57) Western Bulldogs by 57
Geelong (110) defeated Essendon (64) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Geelong by 46) Geelong by 26
Fitzroy (96) lost to North Melbourne (130) at Princes Park (VIC) [North Melbourne by 34) Fitzroy by 3
Melbourne (130) lost to Hawthorn (149) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Hawthorn by 19) Hawthorn by 28
West Coast (120) defeated Carlton (87) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 33) West Coast by 18

Elimination Final

Collingwood (83) lost to St Kilda (91) at Waverley Park (VIC) [St Kilda by 8) St Kilda by 8
Geelong (172) defeated Western Bulldogs (111) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 61) Western Bulldogs by 0
West Coast (100) defeated Hawthorn (87) at Subiaco (WA) [West Coast by 13) West Coast by 7

Semi Final

Western Bulldogs (119) defeated St Kilda (90) at Waverley Park (VIC) [Western Bulldogs by 29) St Kilda by 3
Geelong (95) lost to West Coast (133) at M.C.G. (VIC) [West Coast by 38) Geelong by 13

Preliminary Final

Geelong (149) defeated Western Bulldogs (85) at M.C.G. (VIC) [Geelong by 64) Geelong by 3

Grand Final

Geelong (85) lost to West Coast (113) at M.C.G. (VIC) [West Coast by 28) Geelong by 10